Armi Susandi
Recognizing this gap of opportunity and taking advantage of advances in science, data, technology, non-governmental organizations (NGOs) such as the Indonesian Red Cross Federation Movement have developed and piloted an approach known as Forecast-based Action (FbA) or impact-based forecast in partnership with services local meteorology and hydrology. The FbA approach or impact-based forecasting seeks to jointly develop standard operating procedures (SOPs) with each disaster stakeholder with a commitment to take certain actions aimed at reducing the impact of a disaster, when the disaster early warning is issued. Following up on the development of the Multi-Hazard Early Warning System or MHEWS (Susandi, et al.,2018) which is the result of a partnership between the National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB) and ITB, researchers have now developed and integrated the concept of FbA into MHEWS. The concept of FbA that has been developed is the result of the development of the FbA concept used by Coughlan de Perez et al., 2015 as well as the World Meteorological Organization Guide (WMO, 2015) regarding Impact-based Forecast (IbF). With this development, the application of FbA is not only limited to extreme weather but can also take advantage of other hydrometeorological disasters.
Penerapan Teknologi Tepat Guna, Penerapan Karya Tulis
Extreme weather events such as extreme rainfall which causes floods to intensify due to climate change. The impact of these events can actually reduce weather or climate predictions and can be used with certainty to determine early action in disaster preparedness. The facts are from the facts of existing disasters and disasters, usually the community, government, and humanitarian agencies that only act after the flood occurs (post-disaster action) which can be said to be too late. However, in reality there is a window of opportunity (time lag opportunity) between the time when the prediction is announced and when the disaster occurs, which is an opening for early action to be taken to protect the community from the effects of flooding.